A seminar by Dr Ou Yang from the University of Melbourne
Title: Estimating short-term capacity: Theory and an application to invasive coronary angiography for acute myocardial infarction
Abstract: This paper develops a new theoretical model to illustrate how the optimal capacity level should be chosen by the hospital given their knowledge of uncertain patient demand. Since the capacity level chosen by the hospital is often not observed and has to be estimated by researchers in practice, a novel non-parametric model is employed to estimate the short-term capacity chosen by the hospital. In an application, the role of short-term capacity in the case of treatment for acute myocardial infarction (AMI) is examined. Due to its urgency, patients suffering from AMI are often sent to the nearest hospital. The short-term capacity of the hospital in delivering care is therefore paramount for patient well-being and survival. Our results indicate significant short-term capacity effects, and suggest that the effects are higher for ST-elevation myocardial infarctions (STEMI) patients than Non-ST-elevation myocardial infarctions (NSTEMI) patients, reflecting the greater importance of short-term capacity due to the urgency of STEMI.
For further information, please contact RSFAS Seminars.
All information collected by the University is governed by the ANU Privacy Policy.